Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6115 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record	CAE 12:45	PHL 14:40	18%	8%	0.0%	82%
AA 6084 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record	CAE 18:38	PHL 20:36	31%	21%	4.2%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Philadelphia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CAE 06:00 → ATL 07:07DL 3038	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → PHL 12:15DL 2279	6h 15m	98%	85%
American Details →	CAE 05:00 → CLT 06:09AA 5855 · flown by Piedmont	3h 21m Charlotte	CLT 09:30 → PHL 11:21AA 2565	6h 21m	99%	85%
American Details →	CAE 07:06 → CLT 08:24AA 5870 · flown by Piedmont	2h 36m Charlotte	CLT 11:00 → PHL 12:43AA 2498	5h 37m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	CAE 07:26 → ATL 08:39DL 3061	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 12:15 → PHL 14:15DL 2131	6h 49m	98%	83%
American Details →	CAE 08:49 → CLT 10:07AA 6048 · flown by Piedmont	2h 55m Charlotte	CLT 13:02 → PHL 14:50AA 2573	6h 01m	100%	80%
United Details →	CAE 06:25 → ORD 07:52UA 4496 · flown by GoJet	1h 33m Chicago	ORD 09:25 → PHL 12:31UA 729	6h 06m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	CAE 13:47 → ATL 14:56DL 2944	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → PHL 19:51DL 1329	6h 04m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	CAE 11:53 → ATL 13:08DL 1590	47m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → PHL 15:58DL 1692	4h 05m	86%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON