Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHA 16:46	LGA 18:59	24%	14%	17.1%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHA 08:25 → ATL 09:28DL 3039	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 25m	100%	87%
American Details →	CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont	2h 48m Charlotte	CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150	6h 15m	100%	85%
United Details →	CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet	3h 04m Chicago	ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669	7h 26m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	CHA 06:00 → DTW 07:55DL 4652 · flown by Endeavor	2h 10m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589	5h 50m	96%	84%
Delta Details →	CHA 12:07 → ATL 13:10DL 1737	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 17:00 → LGA 19:27DL 997	7h 20m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	5h 49m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:38DL 5039 · flown by Endeavor	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	6h 02m	94%	79%
Delta Details →	CHA 17:55 → ATL 18:58DL 5179 · flown by Endeavor	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520	5h 29m	94%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CHA 08:24 → ATL 09:28DL 5448 · flown by Endeavor	1h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	4h 18m	70%	60%
American Details →	CHA 18:37 → CLT 20:13AA 6052 · flown by Piedmont	1h 27m Charlotte	CLT 21:40 → LGA 23:29AA 2031	4h 52m	75%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON