Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 23 nonstops
Sat, Oct 10: AA 2984 at 05:00 is the safest bet, 11% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 21–40%.
Every nonstop on Sat, Oct 10
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 2984 American Flight history → | ORD 05:00 | MIA 09:09 | 11% | 2% | 1.2% | 94% |
| AA 2452 American Flight history → | ORD 05:59 | MIA 10:19 | 13% | 2% | 1.2% | 96% |
| WN 2943 Southwest | MDW 08:04 | FLL 12:10 | 14% | 3% | 5.5% | no record |
| UA 1421 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | FLL 11:13 | 17% | 4% | 2.0% | 91% |
| UA 1358 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | MIA 11:24 | 17% | 3% | 0.7% | 85% |
| WN 198 Southwest | MDW 12:09 | MIA 16:29 | 20% | 5% | 0.7% | no record |
| WN 3552 Southwest | MDW 16:14 | FLL 20:25 | 21% | 5% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 1424 American Flight history → | ORD 06:50 | FLL 11:09 | 21% | 5% | 2.8% | 77% |
| AA 1875 American Flight history → | ORD 07:01 | MIA 11:20 | 22% | 3% | 1.2% | 88% |
| F9 2205 Frontier Flight history → | ORD 08:05 | FLL 12:22 | 29% | 9% | 7.9% | 68% |
| B6 664 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | FLL 11:14 | 29% | 8% | 3.9% | 89%worse than usual |
| AA 1250 American Flight history → | ORD 08:23 | MIA 12:38 | 30% | 4% | 1.2% | 75% |
| UA 1620 United Flight history → | ORD 10:33 | MIA 14:57 | 30% | 6% | 0.8% | 77% |
| UA 279 United Flight history → | ORD 11:00 | FLL 15:14 | 31% | 8% | 1.4% | 76% |
| UA 1294 United | ORD 12:39 | FLL 16:45 | 33% | 11% | 1.6% | no record |
| AA 1159 American | ORD 19:02 | MIA 23:21 | 34% | 7% | 1.0% | no record |
| AA 2689 American | ORD 10:05 | MIA 14:22 | 35% | 5% | 1.1% | no record |
| UA 463 United | ORD 17:59 | FLL 22:04 | 35% | 12% | 1.4% | no record |
| AA 2881 American Flight history → | ORD 17:00 | FLL 21:17 | 36% | 11% | 1.8% | 62% |
| AA 3040 American | ORD 17:31 | MIA 21:53 | 38% | 9% | 1.1% | no record |
| AA 2323 American Flight history → | ORD 16:35 | MIA 20:55 | 40% | 9% | 1.3% | 61% |
| AA 1431 American Flight history → | ORD 14:30 | MIA 18:49 | 41% | 8% | 1.3% | 77%worse than usual |
| B6 864 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 14:35 | FLL 18:49 | 44% | 15% | 3.0% | 67%worse than usual |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON