tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5092 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHS 07:10 DTW 09:19 12% 10% 5.5% 88%
DL 5431 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHS 13:00 DTW 15:11 24% 11% 0.0% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → CHS 16:09 → DCA 17:55AA 1040 2h 19m Washington DCA 20:14 → DTW 22:06AA 4616 · flown by Republic 5h 57m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:55 → ATL 07:07DL 3055 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 09:45 → DTW 11:40DL 8861 5h 45m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → CHS 08:48 → CLT 10:15AA 5817 · flown by Piedmont 2h 13m Charlotte CLT 12:28 → DTW 14:17AA 1683 5h 29m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:10 → ATL 10:20DL 2124 3h 50m Atlanta ATL 14:10 → DTW 16:06DL 1031 6h 56m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → CHS 11:16 → LGA 13:29AA 4664 · flown by Republic 3h 32m New York LGA 17:01 → DTW 18:55AA 4414 · flown by Republic 7h 39m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → CHS 10:40 → ATL 11:53DL 3091 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:28DL 1005 6h 48m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → CHS 12:59 → ATL 14:12DL 3107 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067 6h 15m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → CHS 14:53 → ATL 16:09DL 2179 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 19:25 → DTW 21:26DL 1478 6h 33m 98% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CHS 18:24 → ATL 19:42DL 2174 48m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → DTW 22:31DL 1232 4h 07m 73% 57%
JetBlueDetails → CHS 17:02 → BOS 19:28B6 68 1h 05m Boston BOS 20:33 → DTW 22:45B6 1337 5h 43m 72% 51%
UnitedDetails → CHS 19:46 → IAD 21:30UA 4322 · flown by CommuteAir 51m Dulles IAD 22:21 → DTW 00:04 +1UA 2846 4h 18m 57% 45%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON