tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 1131 at 18:40, with a 33% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1131 JetBlue Flight history → CHS 18:40 FLL 20:20 33% 17% 5.3% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:55 → ATL 07:07DL 3055 58m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094 4h 04m 95% 77%
DeltaDetails → CHS 08:05 → ATL 09:19DL 789 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 22m 100% 71%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:58 → LGA 10:01DL 5093 · flown by Endeavor 1h 14m New York LGA 11:15 → FLL 14:18DL 1181 6h 20m 95% 70%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289 2h 24m Newark EWR 10:23 → FLL 13:39UA 1998 7h 39m 98% 69%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:10 → ATL 10:20DL 2124 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → FLL 15:55DL 1413 6h 45m 97% 68%
DeltaDetails → CHS 12:59 → ATL 14:12DL 3107 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 5h 41m 97% 68%
DeltaDetails → CHS 14:53 → ATL 16:09DL 2179 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 7h 03m 99% 67%
UnitedDetails → CHS 07:52 → ORD 09:20UA 2333 1h 40m Chicago ORD 11:00 → FLL 15:14UA 279 7h 22m 97% 66%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → CHS 15:08 → EWR 17:04UA 2693 52m Newark EWR 17:56 → FLL 21:05UA 2096 5h 57m 49% 29%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON