Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 17:36, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	CHS 17:36	MSP 19:43	15%	5%	0.8%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:55 → ATL 07:07DL 3055	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090	6h 36m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CHS 05:56 → JFK 07:49DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor	3h 46m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	8h 54m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:10 → ATL 10:20DL 2124	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	5h 40m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	CHS 10:40 → ATL 11:53DL 3091	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	6h 27m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	CHS 11:55 → BOS 14:23DL 5670 · flown by Republic	3h 32m Boston	BOS 17:55 → MSP 20:21DL 1098	9h 26m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	CHS 07:09 → DTW 09:27DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor	2h 53m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:11DL 2697	7h 02m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	CHS 12:59 → ATL 14:12DL 3107	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	7h 16m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	CHS 18:24 → ATL 19:42DL 2174	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 15m	97%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CHS 17:00 → ATL 18:19DL 1381	47m Atlanta	ATL 19:06 → MSP 20:46DL 2654	4h 46m	74%	57%
United Details →	CHS 17:06 → IAH 19:01UA 6329 · flown by Mesa	55m Houston	IAH 19:56 → MSP 23:01UA 8172	6h 55m	75%	57%
United Details →	CHS 11:24 → EWR 13:26UA 674	48m Newark	EWR 14:14 → MSP 16:09UA 424	5h 45m	69%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON