Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:45, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:45	ATL 08:47	15%	4%	0.9%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 06:38 → MSP 08:10DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 24m Minneapolis	MSP 10:34 → ATL 14:06DL 1046	6h 28m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	CID 12:09 → MSP 13:30DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	3h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	7h 57m	99%	85%
American Details →	CID 05:03 → ORD 06:22AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	2h 06m Chicago	ORD 08:28 → ATL 11:33AA 851	5h 30m	97%	76%
United Details →	CID 08:50 → DEN 10:04UA 1500	3h 36m Denver	DEN 13:40 → ATL 18:44UA 1671	8h 54m	97%	71%
American Details →	CID 08:05 → CLT 11:20AA 1039	3h 10m Charlotte	CLT 14:30 → ATL 15:56AA 5175 · flown by PSA	6h 51m	92%	71%
American Details →	CID 05:03 → DFW 07:16AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	3h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:01 → ATL 14:16AA 3104	8h 13m	96%	65%
Delta Details →	CID 16:18 → MSP 17:51DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	46m Minneapolis	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	5h 10m	80%	64%
American Details →	CID 12:42 → DFW 14:49AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	1h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:06 → ATL 19:26AA 2403	5h 44m	100%	57%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON