tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 08:05, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → MYR 15:14DL 3182 7h 09m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → CLE 05:46 → ATL 07:35DL 2734 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 09:32 → MYR 10:49DL 3047 5h 03m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → CLE 05:58 → PHL 07:40AA 3302 1h 15m Philadelphia PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 4h 56m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → CLE 06:05 → BOS 08:07DL 5684 · flown by Republic 3h 28m Boston BOS 11:35 → MYR 13:53DL 3087 7h 48m 100% 81%
AmericanDetails → CLE 10:52 → PHL 12:28AA 5847 · flown by Piedmont 3h 51m Philadelphia PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 7h 35m 100% 78%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:00 → IAD 07:15UA 1252 1h 00m Dulles IAD 08:15 → MYR 09:59UA 4236 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 59m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → CLE 16:36 → CLT 18:18AA 1562 1h 50m Charlotte CLT 20:08 → MYR 21:19AA 1085 4h 43m 87% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON