tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, F9 2338 at 10:58, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
F9 2338 Frontier Flight history → CLE 10:58 RSW 13:57 18% 7% 3.5% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLE 06:00 → MSP 07:04DL 1357 2h 01m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 7h 27m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:00 → IAD 07:15UA 1252 1h 00m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 4h 53m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:54DL 2838 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → RSW 13:36DL 1153 6h 31m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:07 → IAH 08:13UA 1645 1h 18m Houston IAH 09:31 → RSW 13:08UA 494 7h 01m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:00 → ORD 07:36UA 490 1h 44m Chicago ORD 09:20 → RSW 13:15UA 1036 6h 15m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:54 → EWR 08:34UA 601 3h 28m Newark EWR 12:02 → RSW 15:16UA 1810 8h 22m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → CLE 05:58 → PHL 07:40AA 3302 3h 44m Philadelphia PHL 11:24 → RSW 14:30AA 507 8h 32m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → CLE 10:26 → DTW 11:27DL 5192 · flown by Endeavor 3h 01m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 6h 56m 94% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON