Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Detroit, leaving 10:26, is the safest bet: 66% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2207 Delta Flight history →	CLE 07:28	SLC 09:26	7%	3%	0.5%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLE 06:00 → MSP 07:04DL 1357	1h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	5h 59m	96%	90%
United Details →	CLE 16:38 → DEN 18:03UA 486	3h 02m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	8h 06m	98%	87%
American Details →	CLE 07:36 → PHX 08:55AA 3110	1h 23m Phoenix	PHX 10:18 → SLC 13:17AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	7h 41m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	CLE 05:46 → ATL 07:35DL 2734	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 24m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLE 06:05 → BOS 08:07DL 5684 · flown by Republic	3h 08m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:23DL 464	10h 18m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:54DL 2838	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 45m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349	4h 00m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	9h 46m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	CLE 11:06 → ATL 12:57DL 1500	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	8h 12m	98%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON