tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–3% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1218 Southwest CLE 07:06 STL 07:55 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 4326 Southwest CLE 11:31 STL 12:20 3% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 13:49 → STL 14:27DL 2700 7h 22m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:54DL 2838 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 11:52 → STL 12:30DL 566 6h 25m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → CLE 05:46 → ATL 07:35DL 2734 50m Atlanta ATL 08:25 → STL 09:06DL 1400 4h 20m 94% 86%
AmericanDetails → CLE 05:58 → PHL 07:40AA 3302 1h 21m Philadelphia PHL 09:01 → STL 10:37AA 1739 5h 39m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → CLE 10:26 → DTW 11:27DL 5192 · flown by Endeavor 3h 06m Detroit DTW 14:33 → STL 15:17DL 1371 5h 51m 94% 83%
DeltaDetails → CLE 11:06 → ATL 12:57DL 1500 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 15:52 → STL 16:39DL 543 6h 33m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → CLE 14:24 → ATL 16:16DL 775 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 19:54 → STL 20:37DL 2833 7h 13m 100% 80%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:00 → IAD 07:15UA 1252 1h 45m Dulles IAD 09:00 → STL 10:27UA 4425 · flown by GoJet 5h 27m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON