Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–30% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1384 American	CLT 12:12	GRR 14:11	20%	6%	0.8%	no record
AA 676 American Flight history →	CLT 19:28	GRR 21:23	30%	9%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → ATL 07:11DL 3186	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → GRR 12:21DL 2547	6h 21m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 17:01 → GRR 18:58DL 2058	6h 39m	100%	86%
United Details →	CLT 06:29 → ORD 07:37UA 1304	3h 00m Chicago	ORD 10:37 → GRR 12:50UA 1297	6h 21m	100%	85%
American Details →	CLT 16:56 → PHL 18:49AA 864	3h 02m Philadelphia	PHL 21:51 → GRR 00:10 +1AA 5905 · flown by Piedmont	7h 14m	91%	81%
American Details →	CLT 07:20 → LGA 09:11AA 2036	1h 23m New York	LGA 10:34 → GRR 13:01AA 4775 · flown by Republic	5h 41m	92%	81%
American Details →	CLT 14:34 → DCA 16:13AA 2839	3h 46m Washington	DCA 19:59 → GRR 21:58AA 5376 · flown by PSA	7h 24m	96%	79%
American Details →	CLT 13:07 → ORD 14:14AA 2530	2h 56m Chicago	ORD 17:10 → GRR 19:20AA 4729 · flown by Republic	6h 13m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405	1h 08m Detroit	DTW 08:50 → GRR 09:54DL 3500 · flown by SkyWest	3h 54m	95%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488	1h 07m Chicago	ORD 20:58 → GRR 23:00AA 3177	4h 34m	67%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON