Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: United via Denver, leaving 08:40, is the safest bet: 69% chance of reaching Jackson on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 75% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 1175 American Flight history →	CLT 08:58	JAC 11:18	15%	3%	0.6%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	3h 28m Denver	DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537	8h 45m	99%	85%
United Details →	CLT 06:29 → ORD 07:37UA 1304	1h 44m Chicago	ORD 09:21 → JAC 11:29UA 2176	7h 00m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315	7h 42m	96%	78%
American Details →	CLT 09:42 → ORD 11:00AA 1038	2h 26m Chicago	ORD 13:26 → JAC 15:56AA 2611	8h 14m	96%	67%
United Details →	CLT 13:06 → ORD 14:30UA 3442 · flown by Republic	2h 04m Chicago	ORD 16:34 → JAC 18:48UA 1987	7h 42m	91%	61%
American Details →	CLT 07:35 → DFW 09:25AA 1005	3h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883	9h 24m	100%	60%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:23 → JAC 10:30AA 1923	6h 45m	75%	57%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON