Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 30–31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2395 American	CLT 16:02	MKE 17:13	30%	10%	1.1%	no record
AA 1072 American Flight history →	CLT 18:27	MKE 19:42	31%	10%	1.0%	66%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 08:05 → ATL 09:19DL 3156	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246	6h 45m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → ATL 07:11DL 3186	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 10:49 → MKE 11:51DL 1151	6h 51m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:55 → MKE 16:59DL 1206	5h 40m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405	57m Detroit	DTW 08:39 → MKE 08:56DL 3102	3h 56m	94%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491	53m Minneapolis	MSP 08:52 → MKE 10:11DL 1781	4h 51m	90%	84%
American Details →	CLT 11:00 → PHL 12:43AA 2498	3h 28m Philadelphia	PHL 16:11 → MKE 17:37AA 5439 · flown by PSA	7h 37m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	CLT 11:50 → LGA 13:50DL 5051 · flown by Endeavor	2h 10m New York	LGA 16:00 → MKE 17:48DL 5780 · flown by Republic	6h 58m	96%	80%
United Details →	CLT 06:29 → ORD 07:37UA 1304	3h 07m Chicago	ORD 10:44 → MKE 11:45UA 5234 · flown by SkyWest	6h 16m	100%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CLT 18:26 → ORD 19:51AA 2488	58m Chicago	ORD 20:49 → MKE 21:37AA 6257 · flown by SkyWest	4h 11m	61%	42%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON