Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: AA 1626 at 10:43 is the safest bet, 17% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 31%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1626 American Flight history →	CLT 10:43	OKC 12:25	17%	4%	0.9%	89%
AA 768 American Flight history →	CLT 20:33	OKC 22:17	31%	12%	3.4%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → ATL 07:11DL 3186	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 09:53 → OKC 11:08DL 2490	6h 08m	98%	87%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	2h 58m Denver	DEN 13:25 → OKC 16:10UA 1656	8h 30m	98%	79%
American Details →	CLT 13:21 → LAX 15:18AA 352	2h 06m Los Angeles	LAX 17:24 → OKC 22:30AA 6385 · flown by SkyWest	10h 09m	95%	78%
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	3h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:40 → OKC 11:53AA 3099	7h 08m	100%	75%
American Details →	CLT 14:38 → PHX 16:02AA 1711	2h 54m Phoenix	PHX 18:56 → OKC 23:15AA 6320 · flown by SkyWest	9h 37m	95%	73%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 18:05 → OKC 19:16DL 2784	5h 54m	96%	71%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491	1h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → OKC 11:16DL 5142 · flown by Endeavor	5h 56m	95%	70%
American Details →	CLT 07:46 → ORD 09:02AA 2843	3h 09m Chicago	ORD 12:11 → OKC 14:27AA 6337 · flown by SkyWest	7h 41m	100%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CLT 14:40 → LAX 16:37AA 1502	47m Los Angeles	LAX 17:24 → OKC 22:30AA 6385 · flown by SkyWest	8h 50m	59%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON