Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 70% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1895 American	CLT 10:22	SLC 12:51	19%	5%	0.7%	no record
DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	CLT 17:40	SLC 19:57	23%	8%	0.8%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → ATL 07:11DL 3186	1h 04m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	6h 14m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 07:06 → BOS 09:15DL 5648 · flown by Republic	2h 00m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:23DL 464	9h 17m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:05 → ATL 09:19DL 3156	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 45m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	CLT 13:17 → DTW 15:00DL 2684	2h 40m Detroit	DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765	8h 17m	98%	81%
United Details →	CLT 06:29 → ORD 07:37UA 1304	1h 18m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 10m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	CLT 11:40 → BOS 14:00DL 5626 · flown by Republic	2h 30m Boston	BOS 16:30 → SLC 19:57DL 445	10h 17m	97%	80%
American Details →	CLT 07:41 → PHX 09:05AA 1678	1h 13m Phoenix	PHX 10:18 → SLC 13:17AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	7h 36m	91%	80%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	6h 59m	97%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CLT 16:56 → PHL 18:49AA 864	53m Philadelphia	PHL 19:42 → SLC 22:57AA 2630	8h 01m	70%	54%
Delta Details →	CLT 13:52 → JFK 16:02DL 5049 · flown by Endeavor	54m New York	JFK 16:56 → SLC 20:26DL 887	8h 34m	70%	51%
American Details →	CLT 18:14 → DFW 19:57AA 2815	1h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:10 → SLC 22:59AA 2993	6h 45m	70%	32%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON