Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 2205 United Flight history →	CMH 06:30	IAH 08:17	11%	3%	0.7%	85%
OO 4700 SkyWest	CMH 17:04	IAH 19:06	17%	6%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic	1h 26m Chicago	ORD 07:35 → IAH 10:36UA 1231	6h 06m	99%	85%
United Details →	CMH 05:48 → IAD 07:17UA 3430 · flown by Republic	1h 23m Dulles	IAD 08:40 → IAH 10:59UA 1524	6h 11m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	CMH 08:08 → DTW 09:24DL 5812 · flown by Republic	3h 05m Detroit	DTW 12:29 → IAH 14:30DL 1307	7h 22m	100%	83%
United Details →	CMH 07:58 → EWR 10:00UA 3457 · flown by Republic	2h 36m Newark	EWR 12:36 → IAH 15:34UA 2204	8h 36m	99%	81%
United Details →	CMH 09:00 → DEN 10:09UA 728	3h 21m Denver	DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829	9h 04m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	CMH 07:15 → ATL 08:52DL 2909	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572	7h 18m	99%	80%
American Details →	CMH 08:05 → PHL 09:45AA 4711 · flown by Republic	3h 19m Philadelphia	PHL 13:04 → IAH 15:43AA 2486	8h 38m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	CMH 06:00 → ATL 07:35DL 2469	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 10:02 → IAH 11:11DL 1682	6h 11m	99%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON