tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 2314 at 08:31, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2314 Southwest CMH 08:31 RSW 11:10 9% 3% 4.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic 56m Chicago ORD 07:05 → RSW 11:14UA 1740 5h 44m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:48 → IAD 07:17UA 3430 · flown by Republic 58m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 5h 05m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:15 → ATL 08:52DL 2909 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → RSW 13:36DL 1153 6h 21m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:40 → EWR 08:33UA 3458 · flown by Republic 3h 29m Newark EWR 12:02 → RSW 15:16UA 1810 8h 36m 100% 79%
AmericanDetails → CMH 08:05 → PHL 09:45AA 4711 · flown by Republic 1h 39m Philadelphia PHL 11:24 → RSW 14:30AA 507 6h 25m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → CMH 11:11 → ATL 12:49DL 1479 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 5h 33m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → CMH 10:53 → MSP 11:55DL 2772 55m Minneapolis MSP 12:50 → RSW 17:18DL 2219 6h 25m 92% 77%
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:30 → IAH 08:17UA 2205 1h 14m Houston IAH 09:31 → RSW 13:08UA 494 6h 38m 94% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON