tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1034 Southwest COS 06:04 PHX 07:08 2% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 1290 Southwest COS 14:49 PHX 15:48 12% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Phoenix on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → COS 10:23 → DEN 11:38UA 5400 · flown by SkyWest 3h 57m Denver DEN 15:35 → PHX 16:35UA 1254 7h 12m 100% 83%
UnitedDetails → COS 07:12 → DEN 08:02UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest 3h 23m Denver DEN 11:25 → PHX 12:25UA 1686 6h 13m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest 55m Denver DEN 08:00 → PHX 09:00UA 1481 4h 00m 95% 82%
DeltaDetails → COS 18:16 → SLC 20:09DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 1h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 21:30 → PHX 22:11DL 1496 4h 55m 96% 81%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 2h 45m Denver DEN 13:18 → PHX 14:12UA 631 5h 52m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → COS 08:01 → DFW 10:56AA 782 2h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:40 → PHX 14:18AA 1548 7h 17m 95% 70%
UnitedDetails → COS 12:06 → IAH 15:35UA 4030 · flown by Mesa 1h 17m Houston IAH 16:52 → PHX 17:51UA 1478 6h 45m 85% 68%
AmericanDetails → COS 10:17 → DFW 13:08AA 1552 3h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:30 → PHX 17:10AA 1232 7h 53m 96% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 46m Denver DEN 19:06 → PHX 20:01UA 1507 3h 54m 66% 50%
AmericanDetails → COS 16:08 → DFW 19:09AA 1170 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:07 → PHX 20:44AA 3232 5h 36m 68% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON