tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: United via Bush, leaving 07:30, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching San Diego on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → COS 07:30 → IAH 11:03UA 4029 · flown by Mesa 3h 27m Houston IAH 14:30 → SAN 15:48UA 1114 9h 18m 100% 78%
DeltaDetails → COS 18:16 → SLC 20:09DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 1h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 21:15 → SAN 22:15DL 1202 4h 59m 93% 78%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Denver DEN 13:30 → SAN 14:55UA 1302 6h 35m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → COS 07:12 → DEN 08:02UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest 3h 13m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 6h 29m 99% 76%
UnitedDetails → COS 11:31 → DEN 12:45UA 4675 · flown by SkyWest 3h 10m Denver DEN 15:55 → SAN 17:20UA 1281 6h 49m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → COS 12:06 → IAH 15:35UA 4030 · flown by Mesa 51m Houston IAH 16:26 → SAN 17:54UA 2798 6h 48m 79% 60%
DeltaDetails → COS 13:40 → ATL 18:44DL 2427 1h 07m Atlanta ATL 19:51 → SAN 21:25DL 819 8h 45m 83% 58%
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 1h 00m Denver DEN 19:20 → SAN 20:46UA 540 4h 39m 79% 58%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON