Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2776 Delta Flight history →	CVG 10:54	FLL 13:28	17%	4%	5.1%	79%
F9 1047 Frontier Flight history →	CVG 12:28	FLL 15:16	21%	8%	2.7%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752	1h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673	7h 16m	97%	79%
United Details →	CVG 11:52 → IAH 13:29UA 6367 · flown by Mesa	3h 06m Houston	IAH 16:35 → FLL 20:22UA 277	8h 30m	97%	75%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:00 → ATL 07:30DL 2441	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 23m	100%	75%
United Details →	CVG 06:35 → IAH 08:11UA 2442	2h 06m Houston	IAH 10:17 → FLL 14:06UA 2670	7h 31m	98%	75%
United Details →	CVG 15:29 → DEN 16:32UA 479	1h 13m Denver	DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:51UA 1374	8h 22m	92%	75%
Delta Details →	CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	7h 18m	99%	74%
Delta Details →	CVG 08:14 → DTW 09:31DL 5479 · flown by Endeavor	3h 39m Detroit	DTW 13:10 → FLL 16:14DL 1294	8h 00m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	CVG 14:15 → DTW 15:33DL 5257 · flown by Endeavor	2h 52m Detroit	DTW 18:25 → FLL 21:27DL 2296	7h 12m	95%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CVG 16:00 → DTW 17:17DL 5456 · flown by Endeavor	1h 08m Detroit	DTW 18:25 → FLL 21:27DL 2296	5h 27m	72%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON