Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2876 Delta Flight history →	CVG 07:12	SLC 08:55	6%	2%	0.4%	90%
DL 2149 Delta Flight history →	CVG 17:45	SLC 19:30	13%	3%	0.4%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Hebron). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CVG 11:00 → MSP 11:54DL 954	2h 36m Minneapolis	MSP 14:30 → SLC 16:21DL 2658	7h 21m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752	1h 05m Minneapolis	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	5h 50m	95%	89%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:00 → ATL 07:30DL 2441	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 10m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	CVG 07:16 → LAS 08:16DL 2915	1h 44m Las Vegas	LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698	7h 13m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	CVG 06:00 → BOS 08:22DL 5790 · flown by Republic	2h 53m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:23DL 464	10h 23m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 41m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	CVG 09:00 → ATL 10:30DL 3076	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	8h 51m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	CVG 07:00 → LAX 08:30DL 393	3h 05m Los Angeles	LAX 11:35 → SLC 14:27DL 1194	9h 27m	99%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CVG 16:04 → MIA 18:49AA 3554 · flown by Envoy	55m Miami	MIA 19:44 → SLC 23:05AA 1017	9h 01m	64%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON