Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 1883 at 13:48, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1883 Southwest	DAL 13:48	SAV 17:14	22%	6%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 11:49 → ATL 15:05DL 441	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	6h 10m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:01 → ATL 18:16DL 512	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	5h 16m	92%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780	46m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	4h 14m	64%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON