tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 07:45, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Omaha on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Washington). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DCA 07:45 → MSP 09:25DL 1493 2h 20m Minneapolis MSP 11:45 → OMA 13:11DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest 6h 26m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → DCA 06:00 → IAH 08:13UA 1450 3h 42m Houston IAH 11:55 → OMA 14:11UA 6188 · flown by Mesa 9h 11m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DCA 05:54 → DTW 07:26DL 2869 1h 09m Detroit DTW 08:35 → OMA 09:48DL 4055 · flown by SkyWest 4h 54m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → DCA 06:00 → ATL 07:43DL 410 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 09:25 → OMA 10:43DL 1125 5h 43m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → DCA 08:00 → ATL 09:51DL 343 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 13:44 → OMA 15:08DL 2364 8h 08m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → DCA 12:27 → ATL 14:17DL 380 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707 7h 15m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → DCA 16:13 → DEN 18:25UA 746 2h 40m Denver DEN 21:05 → OMA 23:43UA 1787 8h 30m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → DCA 15:07 → MSP 16:56DL 2983 1h 09m Minneapolis MSP 18:05 → OMA 19:25DL 4024 · flown by SkyWest 5h 18m 94% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON