tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 30–36% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1662 United Flight history → DEN 17:42 ALB 23:30 30% 10% 0.5% 69%
WN 1531 Southwest DEN 17:22 ALB 22:56 36% 8% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:05 → PHL 19:00AA 2491 2h 50m Philadelphia PHL 21:50 → ALB 23:23AA 5877 · flown by Piedmont 8h 18m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → DEN 15:00 → DTW 19:52DL 1648 1h 53m Detroit DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660 6h 21m 93% 77%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:28UA 1924 3h 07m Dulles IAD 08:35 → ALB 10:11UA 4812 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 06m 100% 77%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:53 → IAD 19:22UA 347 2h 48m Dulles IAD 22:10 → ALB 23:47UA 4321 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 54m 96% 76%
AmericanDetails → DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573 2h 17m Charlotte CLT 14:21 → ALB 16:29AA 1075 7h 48m 97% 75%
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:44 → ORD 11:21UA 1928 3h 23m Chicago ORD 14:44 → ALB 17:44UA 1634 8h 00m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584 7h 49m 97% 75%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377 2h 20m Chicago ORD 12:02 → ALB 14:59UA 2792 6h 59m 99% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:05 → PHL 19:00AA 2491 50m Philadelphia PHL 19:50 → ALB 21:23AA 5850 · flown by Piedmont 6h 18m 67% 47%
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:21 → CLT 18:40AA 1662 55m Charlotte CLT 19:35 → ALB 21:43AA 589 6h 22m 60% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON