tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 477 United DEN 10:22 ECP 14:36 16% 8% 0.7% no record
WN 1855 Southwest DEN 13:17 ECP 17:16 22% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Panama City Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → ECP 08:27DL 3048 6h 47m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 1h 43m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → ECP 12:40DL 2823 5h 55m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 11:45 → ATL 16:49DL 346 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 18:58 → ECP 19:12DL 3053 6h 27m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 15:55 → ECP 16:06DL 3094 7h 51m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 22:51 → ECP 22:58DL 3131 7h 48m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320 3h 44m Houston IAH 12:16 → ECP 14:14UA 4969 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 14m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612 1h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:02 → ECP 12:13AA 3625 · flown by Envoy 6h 13m 98% 77%
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 3h 24m Houston IAH 14:39 → ECP 16:19UA 4902 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 37m 100% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON