tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, UA 2066 at 10:02, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2066 United DEN 10:02 GSP 15:13 12% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Greenville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → GSP 10:18DL 2158 7h 38m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → GSP 15:01DL 3010 7h 16m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:12 → EWR 05:42UA 1745 2h 48m Newark EWR 08:30 → GSP 10:37UA 3604 · flown by Republic 8h 25m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → DEN 10:20 → IAD 15:53UA 2087 2h 04m Dulles IAD 17:57 → GSP 20:07UA 4963 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 47m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573 3h 52m Charlotte CLT 15:56 → GSP 16:59AA 5440 · flown by PSA 8h 18m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612 1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:41 → GSP 13:09AA 3986 · flown by Envoy 6h 09m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → GSP 23:54DL 2281 7h 44m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → DEN 08:38 → ORD 12:00UA 2430 1h 55m Chicago ORD 13:55 → GSP 17:00UA 5403 · flown by SkyWest 6h 22m 97% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON