tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2082 United Flight history → DEN 11:15 RDM 12:53 17% 4% 0.6% 73%
UA 1588 United Flight history → DEN 19:29 RDM 21:05 20% 5% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:05 → SLC 08:36DL 1581 2h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 5h 30m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → DEN 18:11 → SLC 19:48DL 1623 1h 57m Salt Lake City SLC 21:45 → RDM 22:32DL 3756 · flown by SkyWest 5h 21m 93% 87%
AmericanDetails → DEN 07:13 → PHX 08:08AA 1404 3h 38m Phoenix PHX 11:46 → RDM 14:25AA 3929 · flown by Envoy 8h 12m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731 2h 56m Seattle SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest 7h 15m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:15 → SFO 06:53UA 2367 3h 34m San Francisco SFO 10:27 → RDM 12:11UA 2153 7h 56m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:45 → LAX 13:17UA 1013 2h 50m Los Angeles LAX 16:07 → RDM 18:16UA 504 7h 31m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:16 → PHX 13:06AA 2602 3h 38m Phoenix PHX 16:44 → RDM 19:16AA 3597 · flown by Envoy 8h 00m 94% 80%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:20 → SFO 13:04UA 1561 3h 43m San Francisco SFO 16:47 → RDM 18:27UA 2418 8h 07m 99% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543 54m Seattle SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest 5h 18m 56% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON