Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 14:10, is the safest bet: 60% chance of reaching Savannah on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 75% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 361 United	DEN 09:52	SAV 15:18	11%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → SAV 09:16DL 3011	6h 36m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:00 → MSP 09:00DL 1129	3h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → SAV 16:28DL 2574	8h 28m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 00:59 → DTW 05:48DL 1096	2h 57m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → SAV 10:52DL 1119	7h 53m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 13:44 → SAV 14:50DL 1067	7h 05m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → SAV 16:26DL 3014	7h 11m	99%	84%
United Details →	DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720	3h 28m Houston	IAH 14:43 → SAV 18:17UA 6355 · flown by Mesa	8h 35m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:35 → JFK 12:27DL 336	2h 16m New York	JFK 14:43 → SAV 17:20DL 5460 · flown by Endeavor	8h 45m	99%	82%
American Details →	DEN 11:00 → CLT 16:18AA 3299	2h 57m Charlotte	CLT 19:15 → SAV 20:32AA 5382 · flown by PSA	7h 32m	100%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706	50m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	5h 07m	75%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON