tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 4765 SkyWest DEN 11:43 SHV 15:01 14% 7% 0.5% no record
OO 376 SkyWest DEN 18:08 SHV 21:36 17% 8% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 3h 13m Houston IAH 14:28 → SHV 15:41UA 5765 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 1h 20m Atlanta ATL 12:04 → SHV 13:01DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest 6h 16m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 1h 44m Atlanta ATL 21:00 → SHV 21:49DL 4095 · flown by SkyWest 6h 39m 95% 76%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:39 → DFW 15:46AA 2359 3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:22 → SHV 20:32AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest 6h 53m 97% 70%
AmericanDetails → DEN 10:25 → DFW 13:26AA 1756 3h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:13 → SHV 18:21AA 6410 · flown by SkyWest 6h 56m 95% 69%
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:21 → CLT 18:40AA 1662 2h 13m Charlotte CLT 20:53 → SHV 22:12AA 6412 · flown by SkyWest 7h 51m 93% 69%
AmericanDetails → DEN 15:25 → DFW 18:35AA 420 3h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:52 → SHV 23:02AA 4902 · flown by SkyWest 6h 37m 95% 58%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DEN 15:25 → DFW 18:35AA 420 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:22 → SHV 20:32AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest 4h 07m 55% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON