Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, UA 2350 at 18:10, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 2350 United Flight history →	DEN 18:10	SYR 23:44	25%	7%	0.6%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 09:23 → SYR 11:33DL 1375	8h 53m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	DEN 08:42 → MSP 11:42DL 2877	3h 52m Minneapolis	MSP 15:34 → SYR 18:52DL 2546	8h 10m	99%	83%
United Details →	DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:28UA 1924	3h 01m Dulles	IAD 08:29 → SYR 09:55UA 4370 · flown by CommuteAir	7h 50m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 13:05 → SYR 15:16DL 2991	7h 31m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:35 → JFK 12:27DL 336	2h 07m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	7h 36m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	DEN 15:00 → DTW 19:52DL 1648	1h 43m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → SYR 22:58DL 1689	5h 58m	93%	75%
Delta Details →	DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	7h 38m	97%	75%
United Details →	DEN 08:38 → ORD 12:00UA 2430	1h 55m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343	6h 10m	97%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 15:25 → DFW 18:35AA 420	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:25 → SYR 23:40AA 421	6h 15m	58%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON