Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: American via National, leaving 07:02, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching Hartford on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1083 American	DFW 07:24	BDL 12:11	18%	4%	0.9%	no record
AA 1367 American Flight history →	DFW 12:53	BDL 17:39	36%	8%	0.8%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	2h 52m Denver	DEN 09:45 → BDL 15:37UA 2643	8h 52m	100%	90%
American Details →	DFW 05:02 → DCA 09:03AA 1618	2h 56m Washington	DCA 11:59 → BDL 13:27AA 5059 · flown by PSA	7h 25m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183	1h 27m Detroit	DTW 10:31 → BDL 12:15DL 2163	5h 55m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:45 → ATL 09:59DL 893	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → BDL 15:14DL 2739	7h 29m	97%	83%
American Details →	DFW 05:00 → CLT 08:41AA 1091	3h 32m Charlotte	CLT 12:13 → BDL 14:19AA 2741	8h 19m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276	53m Minneapolis	MSP 10:16 → BDL 13:52DL 2007	5h 57m	89%	80%
Delta Details →	DFW 11:10 → ATL 14:14DL 961	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → BDL 18:50DL 2735	6h 40m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	DFW 15:10 → DTW 18:54DL 735	2h 36m Detroit	DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989	7h 04m	93%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON