Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:30, is the safest bet: 73% chance of reaching Spokane on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 70% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1381 American Flight history →	DFW 10:10	GEG 12:05	28%	8%	0.9%	75%
AA 2757 American	DFW 18:39	GEG 20:34	42%	15%	2.4%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276	2h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437	8h 26m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	1h 08m Atlanta	ATL 09:42 → GEG 11:40DL 814	8h 20m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 59m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 27m	95%	82%
American Details →	DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474	2h 50m Phoenix	PHX 10:24 → GEG 13:23AA 540	8h 15m	97%	78%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:30 → SEA 08:46DL 804	2h 39m Seattle	SEA 11:25 → GEG 12:41DL 3754 · flown by SkyWest	8h 11m	98%	76%
American Details →	DFW 12:30 → PHX 13:07AA 336	3h 48m Phoenix	PHX 16:55 → GEG 19:49AA 2876	9h 19m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	1h 05m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	5h 38m	85%	73%
American Details →	DFW 05:00 → ORD 07:33AA 1938	3h 37m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → GEG 13:29AA 677	10h 29m	100%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DFW 18:25 → SLC 20:18DL 2811	52m Salt Lake City	SLC 21:10 → GEG 21:52DL 1466	5h 27m	70%	59%
American Details →	DFW 08:55 → PHX 09:29AA 520	55m Phoenix	PHX 10:24 → GEG 13:23AA 540	6h 28m	73%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON