Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:20, is the safest bet: 77% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


OH 5653 PSA	DFW 12:44	MYR 16:46	19%	6%	1.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	DFW 05:00 → CLT 08:41AA 1091	2h 39m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	6h 36m	97%	89%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	2h 44m Denver	DEN 09:37 → MYR 14:56UA 454	8h 11m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:45 → ATL 09:59DL 893	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 13:54 → MYR 15:14DL 3182	7h 29m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	58m Atlanta	ATL 09:32 → MYR 10:49DL 3047	4h 29m	93%	77%
Delta Details →	DFW 13:42 → ATL 17:04DL 414	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → MYR 21:49DL 3074	7h 07m	97%	74%
American Details →	DFW 09:38 → PHL 14:00AA 402	2h 19m Philadelphia	PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont	7h 49m	92%	72%
American Details →	DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696	2h 16m Charlotte	CLT 17:52 → MYR 18:56AA 1417	6h 01m	94%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON