tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, OO 3924 at 14:20, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3924 SkyWest DTW 14:20 CLE 15:22 13% 6% 0.5% no record
DL 5392 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 08:35 CLE 09:37 16% 7% 0.0% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203 2h 38m Minneapolis MSP 19:50 → CLE 22:41DL 1392 6h 21m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → CLE 13:35DL 775 7h 18m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → CLE 15:29DL 2545 7h 04m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 1h 11m Atlanta ATL 08:21 → CLE 10:12DL 1500 4h 55m 95% 84%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:05 → BOS 09:02DL 1163 53m Boston BOS 09:55 → CLE 12:00DL 5641 · flown by Republic 4h 55m 91% 84%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:49 → DCA 08:39AA 5244 · flown by PSA 2h 56m Washington DCA 11:35 → CLE 13:06AA 5535 · flown by PSA 6h 17m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → DTW 10:55 → IAH 12:57UA 6251 · flown by Mesa 1h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 7h 35m 95% 81%
UnitedDetails → DTW 06:00 → EWR 07:45UA 3652 · flown by Republic 1h 22m Newark EWR 09:07 → CLE 10:44UA 1833 4h 44m 97% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → DTW 15:19 → BOS 17:22B6 1136 49m Boston BOS 18:11 → CLE 20:19B6 1341 5h 00m 71% 53%
UnitedDetails → DTW 16:36 → ORD 16:57UA 4673 · flown by SkyWest 48m Chicago ORD 17:45 → CLE 20:13UA 2652 3h 37m 61% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON