Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


9E 5033 Endeavor	DTW 10:44	GSP 12:32	10%	3%	0.9%	no record
DL 1561 Delta Flight history →	DTW 20:05	GSP 21:47	18%	5%	0.7%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 11:20 → GSP 12:18DL 1725	6h 01m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 09:15 → GSP 10:18DL 2158	5h 01m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → GSP 15:01DL 3010	6h 36m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:00 → LGA 08:47DL 1487	2h 08m New York	LGA 10:55 → GSP 13:04DL 5463 · flown by Endeavor	6h 04m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188	2h 32m Atlanta	ATL 16:52 → GSP 17:53DL 3095	5h 28m	97%	82%
United Details →	DTW 10:58 → ORD 11:27UA 426	2h 28m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → GSP 17:00UA 5403 · flown by SkyWest	6h 02m	98%	79%
American Details →	DTW 10:59 → CLT 12:55AA 2582	3h 01m Charlotte	CLT 15:56 → GSP 16:59AA 5440 · flown by PSA	6h 00m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	DTW 14:43 → ATL 16:56DL 1983	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 19:42 → GSP 20:43DL 3136	6h 00m	100%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON