tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 1145 at 08:45, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 1145 Delta Flight history → DTW 08:45 MYR 10:39 11% 4% 0.6% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → DTW 07:00 → CLT 08:54AA 1439 2h 26m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 5h 36m 96% 89%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:03 → PHL 07:52AA 5414 · flown by PSA 1h 03m Philadelphia PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 4h 51m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → MYR 15:14DL 3182 6h 49m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 09:32 → MYR 10:49DL 3047 5h 32m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:05 → BOS 09:02DL 1163 2h 33m Boston BOS 11:35 → MYR 13:53DL 3087 6h 48m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387 2h 32m Charlotte CLT 10:23 → MYR 11:31AA 2431 5h 31m 95% 80%
DeltaDetails → DTW 14:43 → ATL 16:56DL 1983 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → MYR 21:49DL 3074 7h 06m 100% 76%
UnitedDetails → DTW 11:11 → EWR 13:16UA 3706 · flown by Republic 2h 35m Newark EWR 15:51 → MYR 17:59UA 3589 · flown by Republic 6h 48m 99% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON