Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4055 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DTW 08:35	OMA 09:48	8%	4%	0.5%	82%
DL 3715 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DTW 19:45	OMA 20:53	11%	5%	0.6%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Detroit). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746	3h 52m Minneapolis	MSP 11:45 → OMA 13:11DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest	7h 10m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 13:44 → OMA 15:08DL 2364	7h 43m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 09:25 → OMA 10:43DL 1125	6h 26m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707	7h 17m	98%	85%
American Details →	DTW 06:33 → ORD 07:18AA 6465 · flown by SkyWest	1h 00m Chicago	ORD 08:18 → OMA 10:01AA 4042 · flown by Envoy	4h 28m	89%	80%
Delta Details →	DTW 17:59 → ATL 20:04DL 2053	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010	6h 50m	96%	78%
United Details →	DTW 15:32 → DEN 16:45UA 302	1h 20m Denver	DEN 18:05 → OMA 20:42UA 1436	6h 10m	90%	73%
United Details →	DTW 10:58 → ORD 11:27UA 426	1h 22m Chicago	ORD 12:49 → OMA 14:23UA 247	4h 25m	92%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON