Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2001 Delta DTW 08:38 RSW 11:33 15% 3% 4.0% no record
DL 1225 Delta Flight history → DTW 14:28 RSW 17:22 15% 5% 1.3% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258 2h 56m Minneapolis MSP 12:50 → RSW 17:18DL 2219 8h 18m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → RSW 13:36DL 1153 7h 19m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746 1h 12m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 26m 95% 82%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:03 → PHL 07:52AA 5414 · flown by PSA 3h 32m Philadelphia PHL 11:24 → RSW 14:30AA 507 8h 27m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → DTW 10:25 → ATL 12:22DL 2856 2h 37m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 6h 19m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 55m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → RSW 09:47DL 1089 4h 30m 90% 77%
DeltaDetails → DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124 6h 30m 98% 76%
DeltaDetails → DTW 08:35 → CVG 09:54DL 5259 · flown by Endeavor 2h 36m Hebron CVG 12:30 → RSW 15:02DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 6h 27m 97% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON