tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2458 Delta Flight history → DTW 11:50 SAT 13:59 11% 3% 0.5% 79%
DL 1365 Delta Flight history → DTW 20:15 SAT 22:22 21% 8% 0.5% 72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Detroit). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DTW 09:01 → DEN 10:13UA 2302 3h 31m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 8h 54m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 18m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746 1h 00m Minneapolis MSP 08:53 → SAT 11:46DL 2667 5h 45m 92% 84%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 1h 10m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → SAT 09:43DL 1676 5h 26m 95% 82%
DeltaDetails → DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935 3h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → SAT 21:08DL 2797 9h 48m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → DTW 10:55 → IAH 12:57UA 6251 · flown by Mesa 1h 49m Houston IAH 14:46 → SAT 15:53UA 2030 5h 58m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203 1h 23m Minneapolis MSP 18:35 → SAT 21:26DL 2773 6h 06m 94% 79%
AmericanDetails → DTW 08:00 → PHX 09:24AA 839 2h 59m Phoenix PHX 12:23 → SAT 16:47AA 570 9h 47m 96% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → DTW 15:32 → DEN 16:45UA 302 49m Denver DEN 17:34 → SAT 20:50UA 8131 6h 18m 74% 58%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON