Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 1689 at 21:35, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1689 Delta Flight history →	DTW 21:35	SYR 22:58	18%	4%	0.6%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:11DL 2697	2h 23m Minneapolis	MSP 15:34 → SYR 18:52DL 2546	6h 32m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 09:23 → SYR 11:33DL 1375	6h 16m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	DTW 08:25 → ATL 10:20DL 1653	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 13:05 → SYR 15:16DL 2991	6h 51m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	DTW 10:14 → JFK 11:58DL 2751	2h 36m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	5h 57m	100%	80%
American Details →	DTW 06:03 → PHL 07:52AA 5414 · flown by PSA	1h 05m Philadelphia	PHL 08:57 → SYR 10:21AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont	4h 18m	100%	79%
United Details →	DTW 10:58 → ORD 11:27UA 426	2h 28m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343	5h 50m	98%	74%
American Details →	DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387	2h 51m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → SYR 12:43AA 2730	6h 43m	95%	74%
Delta Details →	DTW 15:56 → LGA 17:45DL 2602	2h 10m New York	LGA 19:55 → SYR 21:25DL 5421 · flown by Endeavor	5h 29m	95%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON