tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2191 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record ELP 19:16 SEA 21:59 46% 22% 13.5% 54%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind El Paso). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ELP 06:00 → ATL 11:10DL 1741 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:33 → SEA 14:50DL 629 9h 50m 96% 81%
UnitedDetails → ELP 05:45 → IAH 08:46UA 6303 · flown by Mesa 3h 21m Houston IAH 12:07 → SEA 14:53UA 2228 10h 08m 99% 76%
AmericanDetails → ELP 12:21 → PHX 12:56AA 4889 · flown by SkyWest 1h 33m Phoenix PHX 14:29 → SEA 17:37AA 3934 · flown by Envoy 6h 16m 92% 72%
UnitedDetails → ELP 07:00 → DEN 08:53UA 724 2h 32m Denver DEN 11:25 → SEA 13:24UA 2058 7h 24m 95% 70%
DeltaDetails → ELP 14:25 → ATL 19:42DL 1002 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 21:35 → SEA 23:59DL 903 10h 34m 92% 70%
UnitedDetails → ELP 14:02 → IAH 17:15UA 4275 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 52m Houston IAH 20:07 → SEA 22:36UA 2341 9h 34m 95% 65%
AmericanDetails → ELP 07:05 → DFW 10:00AA 2029 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:17 → SEA 14:31AA 757 8h 26m 91% 56%
UnitedDetails → ELP 14:32 → DEN 16:38UA 1728 2h 29m Denver DEN 19:07 → SEA 20:56UA 2767 7h 24m 96% 56%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ELP 16:00 → IAH 19:10UA 4339 · flown by CommuteAir 57m Houston IAH 20:07 → SEA 22:36UA 2341 7h 36m 63% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON