Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, AS 3260 at 19:35, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AS 3260 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	EUG 19:35	BUR 21:49	19%	9%	1.0%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EUG 05:13 → SLC 08:11DL 3708 · flown by SkyWest	2h 34m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	6h 41m	99%	90%
Alaska Details →	EUG 05:20 → PDX 06:06AS 2053 · flown by Horizon	53m Portland	PDX 06:59 → BUR 09:17AS 1487	3h 57m	98%	89%
United Details →	EUG 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 335	1h 10m San Francisco	SFO 08:45 → BUR 10:09UA 2363	4h 09m	94%	83%
United Details →	EUG 05:00 → DEN 08:37UA 1241	2h 38m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	7h 48m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	EUG 16:43 → SLC 19:41DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest	1h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339	5h 05m	96%	77%
Alaska Details →	EUG 06:00 → SEA 07:08AS 2046 · flown by Horizon	3h 46m Seattle	SEA 10:54 → BUR 13:28AS 1395	7h 28m	100%	73%
Alaska Details →	EUG 09:45 → SEA 10:53AS 2073 · flown by Horizon	2h 25m Seattle	SEA 13:18 → BUR 15:48AS 529	6h 03m	100%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON