Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


G7 4406 GoJet	EWR 01:10	GSO 02:43	14%	4%	1.8%	no record
UA 4509 United flown by GoJet Flight history →	EWR 12:11	GSO 14:05	16%	4%	2.1%	66%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 12:50 → GSO 14:13DL 3060	7h 08m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	EWR 06:00 → DTW 07:50DL 2596	2h 56m Detroit	DTW 10:46 → GSO 12:26DL 4966 · flown by Endeavor	6h 26m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539	7h 00m	97%	85%
American Details →	EWR 05:51 → DFW 08:40AA 2728	1h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:22 → GSO 14:12AA 3886 · flown by Envoy	8h 21m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 16:46 → GSO 18:06DL 3050	6h 06m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	EWR 15:21 → ATL 17:54DL 2312	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 20:59 → GSO 22:20DL 1617	6h 59m	95%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	EWR 17:06 → DTW 19:00DL 2573	55m Detroit	DTW 19:55 → GSO 21:50DL 5407 · flown by Endeavor	4h 44m	69%	60%
Delta Details →	EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401	46m Atlanta	ATL 16:46 → GSO 18:06DL 3050	4h 37m	62%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON