tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 3604 United flown by Republic Flight history → EWR 08:30 GSP 10:37 11% 2% 1.4% 84%
YX 3572 Republic EWR 21:07 GSP 23:26 17% 6% 1.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 11:20 → GSP 12:18DL 1725 6h 18m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → GSP 15:01DL 3010 6h 31m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → EWR 05:00 → CLT 06:57AA 1113 2h 08m Charlotte CLT 09:05 → GSP 10:12AA 5799 · flown by Piedmont 5h 12m 96% 85%
AmericanDetails → EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575 3h 30m Charlotte CLT 13:05 → GSP 14:07AA 5805 · flown by Piedmont 6h 37m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 16:52 → GSP 17:53DL 3095 5h 53m 96% 82%
UnitedDetails → EWR 09:20 → ORD 11:04UA 2290 2h 51m Chicago ORD 13:55 → GSP 17:00UA 5403 · flown by SkyWest 7h 40m 97% 78%
DeltaDetails → EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 19:42 → GSP 20:43DL 3136 7h 14m 98% 78%
AmericanDetails → EWR 05:30 → ORD 07:15AA 3185 59m Chicago ORD 08:14 → GSP 11:13AA 4160 · flown by Envoy 5h 43m 90% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401 52m Atlanta ATL 16:52 → GSP 17:53DL 3095 4h 24m 72% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON