Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 460 at 20:55, with a 37% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 460 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:55	BDL 23:59	37%	16%	1.3%	63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 35m Detroit	DTW 10:31 → BDL 12:15DL 2163	6h 15m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673	2h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 20:00 → BDL 23:39DL 2871	8h 52m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 01m Atlanta	ATL 09:12 → BDL 11:34DL 1082	6h 11m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → BDL 15:14DL 2739	7h 34m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → BDL 18:50DL 2735	7h 46m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011	8h 22m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → BDL 21:54DL 2504	8h 26m	100%	74%
United Details →	FLL 13:10 → IAH 15:00UA 2162	3h 52m Houston	IAH 18:52 → BDL 23:25UA 2378	10h 15m	98%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	53m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → BDL 18:50DL 2735	5h 22m	66%	52%
Delta Details →	FLL 18:31 → ATL 20:39DL 2345	52m Atlanta	ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011	5h 23m	64%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON