Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 1130 at 16:05, with a 32% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1130 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 16:05	CHS 17:50	32%	12%	3.0%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 09m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → CHS 12:20DL 5431 · flown by Endeavor	6h 20m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:43DL 2179	6h 03m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 09m Atlanta	ATL 08:20 → CHS 09:34DL 3091	4h 11m	92%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:41 → CHS 11:54DL 3107	5h 21m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 06m Atlanta	ATL 16:00 → CHS 17:19DL 2174	6h 15m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → CHS 23:53DL 2850	6h 53m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 20:51 → CHS 22:07DL 1663	6h 35m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:10 → ATL 14:02DL 1271	3h 42m Atlanta	ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179	6h 49m	98%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON