tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 1914 at 14:31, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1914 Southwest FLL 14:31 CMH 17:15 25% 11% 1.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 24m Detroit DTW 12:20 → CMH 13:27DL 5774 · flown by Republic 7h 27m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → FLL 11:23 → DCA 14:08AA 1893 1h 46m Washington DCA 15:54 → CMH 17:33AA 4398 · flown by Republic 6h 10m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 30m Houston IAH 12:15 → CMH 16:05UA 4072 · flown by Mesa 9h 05m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750 7h 05m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:27 → DTW 14:26DL 655 3h 29m Detroit DTW 17:55 → CMH 19:05DL 5762 · flown by Republic 7h 38m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673 2h 36m Minneapolis MSP 20:15 → CMH 23:07DL 1356 8h 20m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 17m Atlanta ATL 08:28 → CMH 10:05DL 1479 4h 42m 94% 85%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:04 → CLT 08:04AA 1474 2h 33m Charlotte CLT 10:37 → CMH 12:04AA 2180 6h 00m 95% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 17:25 → JFK 20:27DL 305 48m New York JFK 21:15 → CMH 23:31DL 5658 · flown by Republic 6h 06m 67% 55%
DeltaDetails → FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413 53m Atlanta ATL 19:54 → CMH 21:33DL 1545 4h 33m 64% 50%
AmericanDetails → FLL 15:12 → DFW 17:28AA 1390 1h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:47 → CMH 22:26AA 641 7h 14m 75% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON