tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
F9 1477 Frontier Flight history → FLL 09:04 CVG 11:58 15% 7% 2.2% 62%
DL 2776 Delta Flight history → FLL 14:28 CVG 17:00 19% 10% 2.4% 75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 09:10 → CVG 10:33DL 3160 5h 10m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → CVG 12:38DL 3149 6h 05m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 20:31 → CVG 21:59DL 2248 6h 27m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:04 → CLT 08:04AA 1474 3h 04m Charlotte CLT 11:08 → CVG 12:39AA 1533 6h 35m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 5h 37m 96% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 18:31 → ATL 20:39DL 2345 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 6h 08m 95% 80%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:10 → ATL 14:02DL 1271 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 17:34 → CVG 19:03DL 1858 6h 53m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722 1h 54m Houston IAH 12:39 → CVG 16:15UA 2850 7h 15m 96% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 55m Atlanta ATL 13:49 → CVG 15:12DL 3169 4h 08m 70% 60%
UnitedDetails → FLL 10:00 → EWR 13:03UA 2387 52m Newark EWR 13:55 → CVG 16:16UA 3455 · flown by Republic 6h 16m 66% 53%
AmericanDetails → FLL 13:24 → ORD 15:48AA 1443 53m Chicago ORD 16:41 → CVG 19:02AA 4507 · flown by Republic 5h 38m 45% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON