Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: B6 814 at 06:55 is the safest bet, 11% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 24%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 814 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 06:55	HPN 09:57	11%	4%	3.3%	80%
B6 914 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:36	HPN 22:43	24%	12%	2.5%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:40DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	8h 07m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 08m Detroit	DTW 10:04 → HPN 12:07DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	6h 07m	95%	82%
American Details →	FLL 13:24 → ORD 15:48AA 1443	3h 49m Chicago	ORD 19:37 → HPN 22:59AA 3752 · flown by Envoy	9h 35m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 09:36 → HPN 12:04DL 2973	6h 41m	96%	79%
American Details →	FLL 06:04 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	3h 02m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	7h 09m	95%	78%
American Details →	FLL 09:03 → CLT 11:06AA 2087	3h 43m Charlotte	CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA	7h 53m	96%	77%
American Details →	FLL 11:23 → DCA 14:08AA 1893	2h 51m Washington	DCA 16:59 → HPN 18:27AA 5236 · flown by PSA	7h 04m	100%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 55m	96%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 17:00 → ATL 19:01DL 1413	58m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	5h 25m	66%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON